Bank of Canada Holds Rate at 2.25% — July 15, 2026

Jeff Johnson • July 15, 2026

The Bank of Canada announced today that it is holding its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The tone of today's announcement is notably more optimistic than previous months. Here's what's changed and what it means for you.

What the Bank of Canada Said

Signs of Improvement

For the first time in several months, the Bank is signalling that Canada's economy is showing real signs of improvement. Growth is picking up, and inflation is projected to ease gradually from its recent spike. While risks remain, particularly around the Middle East conflict and U.S. trade policy, the overall tone has shifted toward cautious optimism.

The Global Picture

Since the April Monetary Policy Report, global economic prospects have been dampened by higher oil prices from the Middle East conflict. However, the build-out of artificial intelligence is now supporting economic activity in a growing number of countries. Oil prices are still below their April peak, though the situation in the Middle East remains volatile.

The U.S. economy is growing at about 2.5%, driven by strong consumer spending and booming AI investment. China continues to expand on the back of robust exports. Europe has been weighed down by high energy prices but is expected to strengthen in the second half of the year if prices ease as anticipated. The Bank projects global GDP growth will slow to 2.75% in 2026 before recovering to around 3.25% in 2027 and 2028.

The Canadian Economy

Canada's GDP data over the past year has been choppy. Growth stalled as the economy adjusted to new tariffs, high uncertainty, and slower population growth. But there are now clear signs that growth has resumed in the second quarter, estimated at 2.5%. The Bank acknowledges this largely reflects the unwinding of temporary factors, but sources of growth appear to be broadening.

Consumer spending looks solid. Housing activity has been weak but is showing signs of stabilizing. Export growth has resumed and is expected to strengthen. Business investment is projected to pick up modestly, boosted in the near term by the oil and gas sector. More businesses also report they are finding ways to navigate through trade uncertainty.

Following GDP growth of 0.7% in 2026, the Bank projects growth of 1.8% in both 2027 and 2028. The unemployment rate was 6.5% in June, continuing to hover in the 6.5% to 7% range it has maintained since late 2024.

Inflation

CPI inflation rose to 3.2% in May, mainly due to higher gasoline prices linked to the Middle East conflict. Excluding gasoline, inflation was just 2.2%, and core inflation measures remained close to 2%. That is an important distinction: the inflation we are seeing is largely an energy story, not a broad cost-of-living surge.

Near-term inflation expectations remain sensitive to gasoline prices, but longer-term expectations are well anchored. The Bank expects CPI inflation to stay elevated in June before easing gradually in the coming months, returning to around 2% in early 2027. Inflation is then forecast to average around 2% in 2027 and 2028.

Why the Bank Held

Governing Council judged that the current rate of 2.25% remains appropriate to sustain the economic recovery and bring inflation back to target. Uncertainty is still high, and the Bank remains prepared to adjust monetary policy as needed. The commitment to price stability remains firm through this period of global upheaval.

What This Means for Mortgage Holders and Buyers

A rate hold means no immediate change to variable-rate mortgage payments or home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) tied to the prime rate. The prime rate remains at 4.45%.

Today's announcement carries a more positive signal than we have seen in recent months. The economy is recovering, core inflation is near target, and the Bank's language suggests the path forward is one of gradual improvement, not further tightening. For borrowers, this is an encouraging environment to plan ahead.

If you are renewing a mortgage in the coming months, thinking about purchasing, or weighing your fixed vs. variable options, now is a good time to have that conversation. The landscape is shifting, and being prepared puts you in the best possible position.

The next scheduled rate announcement is September 9, 2026 .

As always, every borrower's situation is unique. If you have questions about how today's decision affects your mortgage, reach out. We would love to help you navigate your options.

Information sourced from the Bank of Canada's official press release dated July 15, 2026.

Jeff Johnson

Mortgage Expert

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How Your Credit Score Impacts Mortgage Rates and Approval

By Jeff Johnson • August 26, 2026
What Lenders Mean by “Good Credit” When You Apply for a Mortgage Credit is simply the ability to borrow money today based on the trust that you’ll repay it in the future. When you apply for a mortgage, lenders want proof that you’ve consistently honoured that trust by managing credit responsibly. But what does a good credit history actually look like to a lender? The 2 / 2 / 2 Rule Explained If you’re newer to credit or want a simple way to remember minimum mortgage credit requirements, think of the 2 / 2 / 2 rule: 2 active trade lines Established for at least 2 years With a minimum combined limit of $2,000 This is a common baseline lenders use when assessing credit for mortgage financing. What Counts as a Trade Line? A trade line is any account where credit is extended to you, such as: A credit card A line of credit A car loan A personal or installment loan Each trade line reports your payment history to the credit bureau and contributes to your credit score. For a trade line to be considered active , it must: Have been used at least once, and Show activity at least once every three months Why Time Matters Lenders want to see that you’ve managed credit responsibly over time , not just recently. Using two trade lines consistently for at least two years helps demonstrate stable financial habits and reliability. Understanding Credit Limits vs. Balances The credit limit is what matters—not the balance. For example: A $1,000 credit card + a $2,500 line of credit = $3,500 total limit This meets the minimum requirement You do not need to carry a balance to build credit. In fact, the best approach is to: Use your credit regularly Pay it off in full each month (for credit cards) Make all loan payments on time If your lender offers a credit limit increase and you’re managing credit well, it’s often a good idea to accept it. Higher limits—used responsibly—can strengthen your credit profile. A Simple Way to Build Credit Automatically One effective strategy is to: Put recurring bills on your credit card Set up an automatic transfer to pay the balance in full every month Automation helps build positive credit history without requiring constant attention—just be sure to monitor your accounts to ensure everything runs smoothly. What About Credit Scores? Yes, credit scores matter—but they’re not the whole story. If you: Have two active trade lines Established for two years With at least $2,000 in total limits And no missed payments …your credit score will generally take care of itself. That said, it’s still wise to review your credit report occasionally to check for errors or unfamiliar accounts. Final Thoughts If you’re thinking about buying a home in the next couple of years, now is the perfect time to review your credit and make sure you’re on track. Small adjustments today can make a big difference when it’s time to apply for a mortgage. If you’d like help reviewing your credit or understanding how it affects your mortgage options, feel free to connect anytime. I’d be happy to walk through it with you and help you plan with confidence.

How to Finance Renovations When Buying a Home in Canada

By Jeff Johnson • August 19, 2026
Can’t Find the Right Home After You’re Pre-Approved? There’s Another Option The best place to start any home purchase is with a mortgage pre-approval. It gives you clarity around your budget and lets you shop with confidence. But what happens when you’ve been pre-approved, you know where you want to live—and nothing suitable fits your price range? This is a common challenge, especially for first-time homebuyers. Before buyer fatigue sets in, it may be worth considering a different approach: buying a home that needs work and financing the renovations as part of your mortgage . What Is a Purchase Plus Improvements Mortgage? A purchase plus improvements program allows you to buy a property and include the cost of approved renovations directly in your mortgage. This can be a great solution if: You can’t find a move-in-ready home within budget You’re open to renovations You want to customize the home from the start It opens up more options and can help you get into a location or property that would otherwise be out of reach. How the Process Works While the idea is straightforward, the process itself is structured and requires planning. Here’s a high-level overview: Renovation quotes are required upfront You’ll need detailed quotes for the work you want completed before final mortgage approval. Renovations must add value The lender must be satisfied that the improvements will increase the property’s value accordingly. Funds are reimbursed, not advanced You pay for the renovations initially. Once the work is completed and verified by an appraiser, the lender reimburses you and adds the cost to your mortgage. With the right guidance, this process is very manageable—but it’s important to understand the steps before committing. Is This Program Right for You? Purchase plus improvements isn’t for everyone. Buying a home is already a big undertaking, and adding renovations can increase stress—especially if timelines, budgets, or contractors become challenging. That said, if you’re financially prepared and like the idea of shaping the home to fit your needs, this program can be an excellent way to get more value and flexibility from your purchase. Final Thoughts If you’re struggling to find the right home after being pre-approved, you may not need to lower your expectations—you may just need a different strategy. If you’d like to explore whether a purchase plus improvements mortgage makes sense for you, feel free to connect. I’d be happy to walk you through the process and outline exactly what this option would look like in your situation.